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American growth at 2.5%!

American growth at 2.5%!

American growth at 2.5%! The rate of real GDP growth in fourth quarter 2007 was at 2.5% year on year, exactly in line with what I predicted under my law on free money supply: the free real GDP growth varies with the inverse of the variance of the free...

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Free money supply and growth

Free money supply and growth

Free money supply and growth Part 1: M3 free money supply The variation of the real GDP growth rate is inversely proportional to that of the free money supply which is the difference between the increase of M3, the money supply in current data and (less)...

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Americans continue to well react!

Americans continue to well react!

Americans continue to well react! Americans continue to well react, as demonstrated by the developments in monetary aggregates figures on January, 14: they increase less savings because their economic situation is good and they anticipate an improvement....

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Growth and American free money supply

Growth and American free money supply

Growth and American free money supply USA are not in recession! The careful observation of changes in monetary aggregates, in particular M2-M1 since 2005 shows that real GDP growth returns in its average of 3.5% (from one year to another), Chart 1: (Click...

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Americans very well react!

Americans very well react!

Americans very well react! Americans very well react, better than fund managers as evidenced by the evolution of monetary aggregates figures on Jan. 7. Indeed, Americans increased less savings because their economic situation is good and they anticipate...

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Americans well react!

Americans well react!

Americans well react! Americans well react: on December 31, they decreased their savings compared to the previous week of $ 4.8 billion to spend more. M2-M1 decreased, the increase in M2-M1 (year-on-year)… decreased below 7%. Chart 1: ( Click here to...

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Back to normal

Back to normal

Back to normal The latest figures released by the Fed on January 3 confirm the previous trend: the increase in savings of Americans (M2-M1)… decreased during the first 4 weeks of December. The increase in M2-M1 tends to 7.5%, meaning that Americans have...

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